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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+4.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.02vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+6.47vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+2.04vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.71+3.06vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+3.07vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09-1.32vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.43+0.26vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-2.50vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.87+0.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-0.36vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-1.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.51-5.38vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.06-8.24vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.77vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.02Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.47Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.06Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.42Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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16.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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17.65SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 64.8% | 12.8% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 10.1% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.