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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+4.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.01vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94+2.23vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71+2.18vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43+2.24vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-3.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.20-0.77vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-2.79vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.43-3.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.98vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.87-3.74vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.76-4.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.75vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.24Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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9.08Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.26Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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16.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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17.65SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 65.7% | 13.1% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 9.2% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.