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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.94+6.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+3.85vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+3.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.75vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.43+4.15vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+0.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+3.12vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71+0.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-2.96vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.87+1.54vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-2.84vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.95vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.51-5.38vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.76-3.35vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.60vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-2.14+0.72vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.85Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.09Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.54Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.57Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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17.72SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Gemperline | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 8.8% | 87.6% |
| Peter Sander | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 65.5% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.