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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.26+3.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.94+1.10vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92-0.25vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.55+1.80vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-1.13+2.17vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.45-0.57vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.85-0.57vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.88+0.86vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.92-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-3.66vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.48-1.03vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.05-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03U. S. Naval Academy0.2613.7%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Naval Academy0.9422.9%1st Place
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2.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9228.9%1st Place
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5.8Washington College-0.556.7%1st Place
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7.17Unknown School-1.133.6%1st Place
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5.43Princeton University-0.457.5%1st Place
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6.43Drexel University-0.854.5%1st Place
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8.86Syracuse University-1.882.3%1st Place
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8.92Catholic University of America-1.921.4%1st Place
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6.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.7%1st Place
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9.97St. John's College-2.480.8%1st Place
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9.21University of Delaware-2.052.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linnea Forsberg | 13.7% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 22.9% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 28.9% | 23.9% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Conner Sciullo | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Randle | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Emily Geraghty | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| Christian Aron | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| Henry Powell | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| David Lowry | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 36.9% |
| Brendan van Riper | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.