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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+7.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+4.18vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+6.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.81vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94+2.13vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38-0.34vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-0.25vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+2.28vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76+1.85vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.87+0.36vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-3.64vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.43-3.99vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.20vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.43-5.93vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.20-5.95vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.78vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.75Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.64Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.36Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.01Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.8University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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16.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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17.64SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 7.1% | 0.3% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 65.8% | 12.8% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 9.6% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.