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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.01vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+6.25vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.81vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51+4.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+0.61vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43+3.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+4.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-3.02vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76+1.86vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-1.71vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-3.76vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.94-5.97vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.20-4.27vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.92vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.87-4.70vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.80vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.25Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.67Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.86Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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16.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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17.65SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.1% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 6.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 8.8% | 64.2% | 12.9% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 9.6% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.