Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Steadman 15.1% 14.3% 15.3% 11.6% 11.3% 8.7% 8.4% 5.8% 3.9% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Anna Weis 4.4% 5.5% 6.4% 8.0% 6.9% 8.2% 7.6% 8.3% 11.5% 12.3% 11.0% 9.9%
Sarah Hermus 18.8% 16.0% 15.5% 12.5% 11.7% 8.9% 6.3% 5.2% 2.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Sebby Turner 4.9% 4.7% 6.3% 6.6% 8.0% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 11.0% 9.8% 12.6% 10.6%
Annie Spence 3.9% 6.4% 5.4% 5.2% 6.7% 8.3% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 11.8% 13.4% 14.4%
Taylor Gavula 9.2% 10.1% 7.6% 8.8% 10.6% 10.7% 10.1% 10.1% 9.3% 6.1% 4.6% 2.8%
Annie Hughes 10.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.6% 8.6% 9.5% 10.1% 6.9% 8.6% 6.8% 4.7% 2.0%
MaryClaire Kiernan 13.4% 11.8% 12.2% 9.7% 9.8% 10.0% 9.5% 8.0% 5.8% 4.4% 3.4% 2.0%
Jennifer Killian 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 7.0% 8.7% 7.6% 12.0% 14.7% 30.8%
Catherine Price 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 8.2% 8.0% 7.0% 8.7% 10.3% 10.6% 10.7% 9.8% 8.1%
Kelsey Shakin 6.7% 5.2% 7.4% 9.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.5% 10.5% 10.1% 9.5% 10.2% 6.0%
Victoria McGruer 5.0% 5.3% 4.8% 5.9% 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1% 11.9% 12.8% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.