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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+4.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+2.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-0.99vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.21+1.14vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36-0.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05-0.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.10-1.72vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-0.86vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.97-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.4Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.42Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.6% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 19.4% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Price | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% |
| Anna Weis | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 33.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Annie Spence | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.