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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.97+5.75vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+4.55vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+1.91vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+1.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-1.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91-1.92vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.10-0.75vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.11-1.77vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.21-2.98vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.23vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.43Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.23Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 17.9% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 10.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.9% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Anna Weis | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| Catherine Price | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 7.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.