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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.52vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.10+5.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+0.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+0.85vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+1.41vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36-0.46vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05-0.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.97-2.32vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.21-3.76vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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9.29Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Anna Weis | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 20.3% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Annie Spence | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% |
| Catherine Price | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.