Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Hermus 18.0% 16.4% 14.5% 14.0% 10.9% 8.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.7% 13.7% 10.6% 11.1% 10.4% 9.0% 11.2% 6.7% 7.6% 5.1% 2.9% 1.0%
Hannah Steadman 16.0% 13.8% 14.3% 11.6% 11.2% 9.4% 7.1% 8.0% 4.7% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Anna Weis 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 8.4% 7.1% 10.5% 8.7% 9.5% 11.4% 11.6% 11.0%
Annie Hughes 9.1% 11.6% 11.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.8% 7.9% 9.0% 8.3% 6.8% 4.7% 2.9%
Taylor Gavula 10.1% 8.3% 8.6% 8.7% 9.7% 10.6% 10.3% 9.5% 9.1% 7.6% 4.8% 2.7%
Victoria McGruer 5.5% 5.5% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 7.9% 7.9% 9.6% 9.3% 11.1% 12.6% 10.9%
Jennifer Killian 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.2% 7.3% 9.3% 15.3% 34.7%
Kelsey Shakin 6.4% 6.4% 9.0% 10.0% 8.4% 9.4% 9.0% 10.0% 9.0% 10.0% 7.5% 4.9%
Sebby Turner 6.4% 5.2% 6.2% 5.5% 8.1% 8.1% 8.0% 9.3% 11.4% 10.5% 11.5% 9.8%
Catherine Price 5.4% 5.2% 6.7% 6.5% 7.6% 7.6% 9.6% 9.7% 9.4% 12.3% 11.6% 8.4%
Annie Spence 4.8% 5.2% 3.3% 6.4% 6.3% 7.4% 7.6% 8.2% 11.4% 11.8% 14.7% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.