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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+4.25vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+2.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.42vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.10+3.43vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.68vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+1.41vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-1.29vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05-0.57vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.21-2.06vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97-3.09vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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4.42Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.43Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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5.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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9.26Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.1% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Anna Weis | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% |
| Catherine Price | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Annie Spence | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 13.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.