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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+5.51vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+5.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+4.15vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+0.72vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+3.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.93vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.10+2.91vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81+2.79vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+1.87vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.50-1.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.72+0.48vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-2.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.68-5.34vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.39-5.13vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.16vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.75-4.65vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.72Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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8.08Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.91Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.79Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.87Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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11.48Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.43College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University3.390.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Megan Magill | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 16.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Wilson | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% |
| Krysta Rohde | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.