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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92+1.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.94+1.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.26+0.96vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.45+1.35vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.55+0.77vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.85+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-0.55vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-2.38+1.84vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-1.19-1.70vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-1.92-1.08vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.88-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.05-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9228.6%1st Place
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3.09U. S. Naval Academy0.9424.1%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Naval Academy0.2614.9%1st Place
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5.35Princeton University-0.456.9%1st Place
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5.77Washington College-0.556.8%1st Place
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6.52Drexel University-0.854.5%1st Place
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6.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.1%1st Place
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9.84St. John's College-2.381.3%1st Place
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7.3Unknown School-1.193.5%1st Place
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8.92Catholic University of America-1.921.5%1st Place
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8.75Syracuse University-1.881.4%1st Place
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9.29University of Delaware-2.051.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Opert | 28.6% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 24.1% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Henry Powell | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 18.9% | 35.2% |
| Walker Aprill | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Christian Aron | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| Emily Geraghty | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.