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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+3.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+3.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.69vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.21+3.15vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+4.19vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.97+1.80vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36-0.47vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-0.72vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.10-1.73vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05-2.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-6.47vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.28Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.45Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.53Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Catherine Price | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 35.0% |
| Annie Spence | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% |
| Anna Weis | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.0% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.