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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Sarah Hermus 17.4% 16.7% 15.8% 12.5% 10.7% 8.6% 6.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.7% 13.0% 11.4% 10.9% 10.5% 9.3% 8.8% 8.8% 7.3% 4.2% 4.0% 1.1%
Annie Hughes 11.2% 8.0% 8.9% 11.2% 10.0% 8.6% 10.9% 9.8% 8.1% 7.1% 4.1% 2.1%
Catherine Price 4.6% 6.2% 6.5% 7.9% 7.5% 9.7% 7.9% 9.4% 10.3% 11.4% 9.7% 8.9%
Jennifer Killian 2.0% 3.2% 3.0% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 5.8% 7.5% 10.7% 14.0% 35.0%
Annie Spence 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 5.6% 4.4% 6.4% 6.9% 10.7% 9.9% 11.8% 14.4% 13.7%
Kelsey Shakin 7.1% 8.5% 7.8% 7.7% 8.9% 9.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.6% 10.3% 8.0% 5.6%
Sebby Turner 6.3% 6.7% 5.9% 6.4% 6.8% 7.7% 8.1% 9.5% 9.1% 9.3% 13.1% 11.1%
Anna Weis 5.2% 4.5% 6.7% 6.9% 8.1% 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 10.8% 9.6% 12.9% 8.5%
Victoria McGruer 5.3% 6.0% 5.1% 6.4% 7.5% 7.1% 8.8% 7.9% 10.7% 13.1% 10.7% 11.4%
Hannah Steadman 16.0% 13.9% 12.7% 11.4% 11.3% 9.6% 8.5% 5.9% 4.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Taylor Gavula 9.3% 8.1% 10.1% 9.4% 10.0% 9.9% 10.5% 8.8% 8.6% 6.9% 6.6% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.