← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.18+3.54vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.37+2.00vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.05+4.57vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.91+1.18vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.21+2.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont1.97+1.77vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.36-0.46vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.11-0.73vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.65-3.30vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.10-2.68vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.39-1.66vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.54Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
4.0University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
-
7.57Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
-
5.18Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.1Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.77University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
-
6.54Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.27Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.7Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.32Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
-
9.34Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 18.2% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Catherine Price | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% |
| Annie Spence | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Anna Weis | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 16.5% | 34.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.