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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.10+6.50vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.05+5.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+2.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+0.42vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.97+1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-3.05vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.21-1.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.36-2.51vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-4.25vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.52vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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4.42Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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3.95University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.0Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.48Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.26Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Weis | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Annie Spence | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 19.5% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Price | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.