Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hannah Steadman 14.4% 13.7% 14.4% 13.5% 9.7% 10.9% 8.0% 5.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.3% 13.5% 11.0% 11.0% 10.8% 9.6% 9.4% 7.6% 7.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1%
Kelsey Shakin 8.0% 5.2% 7.6% 7.3% 7.9% 9.3% 9.2% 10.1% 10.1% 10.8% 8.9% 5.6%
Anna Weis 4.3% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 8.2% 10.4% 8.9% 8.8% 10.5% 12.5% 10.3%
Sarah Hermus 18.7% 19.7% 12.8% 11.3% 10.4% 8.2% 5.7% 4.8% 4.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Annie Hughes 9.5% 10.5% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 11.4% 9.9% 7.9% 7.7% 7.3% 5.0% 1.7%
Sebby Turner 5.8% 6.7% 5.9% 5.8% 7.7% 9.5% 7.6% 8.9% 10.3% 10.1% 11.2% 10.5%
Catherine Price 6.7% 6.0% 7.4% 7.3% 7.9% 7.3% 8.6% 9.6% 10.3% 11.3% 10.1% 7.5%
Taylor Gavula 8.9% 8.7% 11.0% 11.7% 12.2% 7.3% 10.7% 7.8% 8.5% 6.6% 4.1% 2.5%
Jennifer Killian 3.4% 2.2% 3.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.7% 5.5% 7.3% 8.1% 9.4% 15.6% 33.2%
Annie Spence 4.3% 4.0% 5.8% 6.0% 5.1% 6.8% 7.7% 10.4% 9.4% 12.0% 14.1% 14.4%
Victoria McGruer 5.7% 4.7% 4.7% 6.1% 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 11.4% 10.8% 11.1% 12.3% 12.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.