Race 1B

president

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Molly Pleskus 8.1% 7.3% 8.3% 9.7% 8.5% 10.4% 8.3% 9.2% 9.6% 8.7% 7.1% 4.8%
Greta Farrell 7.8% 9.2% 7.6% 10.0% 7.7% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 10.5% 8.7% 8.0% 4.3%
Camille Matile 10.3% 9.4% 9.1% 10.3% 9.6% 9.0% 8.9% 10.3% 9.0% 6.8% 5.1% 2.2%
Rachel Foster 8.0% 9.2% 10.3% 8.4% 9.7% 9.4% 10.5% 8.5% 7.0% 6.7% 7.9% 4.4%
Gabby Rizika 14.2% 14.4% 11.9% 12.0% 10.2% 9.3% 8.0% 6.6% 4.6% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3%
Emily Gonzalez 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 5.1% 4.3% 4.6% 4.9% 6.0% 9.5% 10.0% 16.6% 29.2%
Maia Agerup 12.4% 12.4% 13.0% 9.1% 10.7% 9.2% 8.2% 8.0% 6.4% 5.8% 2.7% 2.1%
Delaney Bamford 11.1% 10.4% 10.1% 7.5% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.7% 5.4% 3.9%
Allison Cahn 4.5% 5.7% 6.7% 6.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.0% 9.9% 10.2% 11.4% 11.2% 10.2%
Lucy Wilmot 11.5% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 9.5% 10.1% 10.7% 7.9% 6.7% 5.8% 4.1% 1.9%
Samantha Brown 3.3% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 6.3% 7.9% 8.4% 12.4% 15.7% 25.1%
Grace Vincens 6.0% 4.8% 4.3% 7.6% 7.8% 7.6% 8.1% 9.1% 9.4% 11.4% 13.3% 10.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.