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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+4.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+3.28vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.73vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+2.28vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-0.06vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.27+1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.37+0.50vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30-3.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.36vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.28Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.73Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.77Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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5.87Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.64Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.48Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Camille Matile | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 26.4% |
| Samantha Brown | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 25.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.