← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.50+4.55vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.40vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.30+3.09vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.77+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.58+0.28vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.82+1.45vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.79+0.38vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.23-1.88vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.36-3.34vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.27-1.23vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.41-5.15vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.37-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.55Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
-
6.09Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
4.79Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.28Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.45Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
7.38Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.12Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.66University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.77Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
-
5.85Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
8.68University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Greta Farrell | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 12.8% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 27.8% |
| Camille Matile | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.