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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.58+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+3.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+2.51vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.37+3.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41-0.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.72vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.27+0.70vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30-3.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-3.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.37vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.74Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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5.74Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.88Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.5Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 25.5% |
| Camille Matile | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 28.2% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.