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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.58+3.84vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+2.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+2.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+1.95vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+0.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41-0.77vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.37-0.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.55-1.53vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.82-3.42vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.27-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.27Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.12Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.23Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.29Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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7.47Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.58Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 10.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Camille Matile | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Foster | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Brown | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 23.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 19.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.