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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.58+4.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+4.22vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.41+2.72vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.37+3.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.27+2.87vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.55-0.02vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-3.78vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.72vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-5.06vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.72Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.68Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.86Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.42Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Camille Matile | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 23.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 28.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 17.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.