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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.28+8.75vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85+5.32vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.76+4.83vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+4.80vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.83vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.92+5.64vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University5.19-0.79vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.47+5.23vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.99+1.26vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College4.15-0.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.22vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.33-3.04vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.87+1.65vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont4.60-6.60vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.74-3.69vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.64-4.44vs Predicted
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18Washington College4.25-8.02vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.00-1.10vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin4.10-9.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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13.23Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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15.65University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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12.31University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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12.56Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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9.98Washington College4.250.0%1st Place
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17.9Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Knowles | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Robert Vann | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Tomas Hornos | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 24.0% | 19.2% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Britton Steele | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Peter Stemler | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Joseph Blouin | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 15.1% | 55.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.