Race 6A

yale-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Elizabeth Barry 9.6% 9.2% 7.8% 7.3% 8.4% 7.3% 7.3% 6.6% 8.3% 5.3% 5.1% 4.8% 4.6% 4.0% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Megan Magill 8.3% 8.8% 7.9% 7.7% 8.4% 7.8% 7.3% 7.0% 7.9% 6.1% 4.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.9% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8%
Amy Hawkins 9.7% 8.9% 10.1% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 8.2% 6.3% 7.1% 5.3% 3.9% 3.8% 2.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Marissa Lihan 3.7% 3.6% 3.0% 4.6% 3.8% 4.6% 4.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 5.9% 9.5% 10.6% 9.0% 10.4%
Morgan Wilson 5.3% 6.4% 6.6% 5.9% 6.4% 6.4% 6.3% 7.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.0% 5.8% 6.2% 4.7% 4.4% 4.9% 3.3%
Claire Dennis 6.1% 4.8% 6.8% 5.5% 5.9% 7.8% 6.9% 7.4% 7.0% 6.6% 6.1% 6.5% 5.5% 5.9% 5.4% 3.5% 2.3%
Grace Lucas 4.7% 4.0% 5.9% 4.1% 4.5% 5.8% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 6.3% 5.6% 5.0%
Emily Maxwell 6.7% 6.7% 6.4% 7.8% 8.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 5.7% 6.9% 6.5% 5.9% 5.2% 6.0% 4.7% 3.5% 2.0%
Morgan Russom 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 3.0% 4.0% 3.3% 5.0% 5.2% 4.1% 5.6% 6.5% 6.0% 8.0% 8.4% 9.9% 10.5% 12.0%
Sydney Bolger 16.6% 15.5% 13.8% 11.4% 10.3% 8.0% 7.3% 4.2% 4.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Genoa Warner 4.9% 4.0% 3.3% 5.1% 4.2% 6.3% 4.3% 5.9% 6.6% 5.2% 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 7.9% 7.8% 8.6% 6.9%
Maggie Shea 6.4% 8.3% 7.6% 7.4% 8.8% 6.5% 8.0% 6.5% 6.6% 6.2% 5.2% 6.2% 5.9% 3.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.3%
Alexandra Arntsen 3.4% 3.4% 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.7% 8.0% 5.7% 6.6% 8.3% 9.2% 8.3% 12.8%
Meghan Pesch 2.0% 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.0% 4.7% 4.4% 4.7% 3.7% 3.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.6% 12.7% 14.6%
Caroline Wilhelm 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 4.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 4.1% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 7.6% 8.6% 8.5% 11.1% 13.7%
Krysta Rohde 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 6.2% 4.8% 7.4% 7.0% 6.4% 6.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 5.2% 5.7% 6.0% 3.3%
Emilie Mademann 3.2% 2.5% 3.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.4% 4.4% 6.0% 5.2% 5.9% 5.0% 7.1% 6.9% 7.9% 8.5% 9.7% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.