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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.26+2.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.94+1.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92-0.28vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.55+1.67vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.85+1.40vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.45-0.64vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.19+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-1.55vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.92+0.01vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-2.38-0.16vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.88-2.19vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.05-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97U. S. Naval Academy0.2614.1%1st Place
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3.09U. S. Naval Academy0.9423.5%1st Place
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2.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9230.0%1st Place
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5.67Washington College-0.556.8%1st Place
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6.4Drexel University-0.854.7%1st Place
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5.36Princeton University-0.458.0%1st Place
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7.39Unknown School-1.192.9%1st Place
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6.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.834.9%1st Place
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9.01Catholic University of America-1.921.4%1st Place
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9.84St. John's College-2.381.1%1st Place
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8.81Syracuse University-1.881.6%1st Place
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9.3University of Delaware-2.051.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.1% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 23.5% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 30.0% | 23.2% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Randle | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Berkley Yiu | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Walker Aprill | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Henry Powell | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Christian Aron | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 35.4% |
| Emily Geraghty | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 16.4% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.