← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.58+4.32vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.50+3.42vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.77+1.74vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.40vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+1.25vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.30+0.08vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.41-1.40vs Predicted
-
8Boston University1.79-0.61vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.37-0.45vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.36-4.20vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.82-3.45vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.27-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.42Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.74Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
-
6.25Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.08Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
5.6Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
-
7.39Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
-
8.55University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
-
5.8University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.55Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
8.91Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Camille Matile | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 21.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.