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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+5.35vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+3.41vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+2.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+2.36vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-0.14vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-1.37vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.82-0.72vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.27-0.20vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-4.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.37-2.21vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.26Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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4.75Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.63Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.28Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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7.57Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.0% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Camille Matile | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 25.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.9% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 27.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.