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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+5.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+2.92vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+3.50vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.37vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.41-1.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.30-2.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.82-1.75vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.27-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.37-2.22vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.58-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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4.79Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.65Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.95Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.25Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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5.27Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% |
| Camille Matile | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 8.5% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 28.4% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 27.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.