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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+4.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+4.20vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+0.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.36vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+0.39vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.37-0.46vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.82-2.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.27-1.96vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.58-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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4.73Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.67Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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7.34Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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5.26Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% |
| Camille Matile | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 22.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 31.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.