← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Oregon State University0.88+5.10vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.53+2.32vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.75+0.99vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington1.07+0.50vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University0.52+0.92vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.95-1.42vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington0.93-2.28vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.52-2.02vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon0.32-2.79vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University-0.68-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.1Oregon State University0.880.1%1st Place
-
4.32University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
-
3.99Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
-
4.43University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
-
5.5University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
-
6.92Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.72University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
-
6.98Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
7.21University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
-
9.26Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levy | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Dawson | 17.5% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 15.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Laura Smit | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 9.7% |
| Connor Hughes | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Hayden Potter | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% |
| Sam Reul | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 12.8% |
| Kelly Logacho | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 14.7% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.