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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+2.23vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.88+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93-0.61vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.68+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.32-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.44Oregon State University0.880.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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6.86Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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3.14University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 20.6% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Michael Levy | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 5.8% |
| Laura Smit | 12.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Connor Hughes | 12.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 4.9% |
| Hayden Potter | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 5.7% |
| Kelly Logacho | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 56.3% |
| Sam Reul | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 23.3% | 19.9% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 24.0% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.