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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.88+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.93vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.75+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.95+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.07-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.93-1.00vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.68+0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.32-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Oregon State University0.880.1%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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3.45Western Washington University1.750.2%1st Place
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4.96University of Washington0.950.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Washington1.070.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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7.85Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Oregon0.320.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levy | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 6.1% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 14.3% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Dawson | 21.7% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Connor Hughes | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 4.6% |
| Laura Smit | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Hayden Potter | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 4.1% |
| Kelly Logacho | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 60.4% |
| Sam Reul | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 17.4% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 17.6% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.