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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.56+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.92vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.85+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.62+4.14vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.10vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.53-3.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.01-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.16-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Washington1.740.2%1st Place
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4.38Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.49Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Berkeley-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Bartels | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 2.7% |
| Karl Skeel | 24.5% | 24.7% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 11.2% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Duncan Jackson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 67.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Susan Riley | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 5.8% |
| Erik Skeel | 22.5% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 10.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 24.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.