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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.56+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.93vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.01+1.82vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.85-0.76vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.62+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53-4.87vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.16-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.02Western Washington University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.24Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.52Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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3.13University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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6.17University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Bartels | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 2.5% |
| Karl Skeel | 25.3% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 13.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Hogan | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 21.6% | 7.6% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 11.9% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Susan Riley | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 5.5% |
| Duncan Jackson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 12.3% | 71.8% |
| Erik Skeel | 25.0% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 25.0% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.