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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92+1.78vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.45+3.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.26+0.93vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.94-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.42vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.55-0.22vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.19+0.30vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.85-1.40vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.88-0.18vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-2.38-0.27vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-1.92-2.12vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.05-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9227.9%1st Place
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5.35Princeton University-0.458.2%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Naval Academy0.2614.9%1st Place
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3.16U. S. Naval Academy0.9422.5%1st Place
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6.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.2%1st Place
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5.78Washington College-0.556.3%1st Place
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7.3Unknown School-1.194.1%1st Place
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6.6Drexel University-0.854.5%1st Place
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8.82Syracuse University-1.881.5%1st Place
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9.73St. John's College-2.381.1%1st Place
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8.88Catholic University of America-1.922.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Delaware-2.051.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Opert | 27.9% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.9% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 22.5% | 21.2% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Walker Aprill | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Lucas Randle | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Geraghty | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 34.6% |
| Christian Aron | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.