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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+7.05vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+4.14vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.22vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+2.33vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51-1.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.48vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+0.73vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81+0.14vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.10-2.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.13vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.39-5.09vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.20-5.57vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.75-4.65vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.72-5.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.33Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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4.8Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.86Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.14Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.84Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.43College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.41Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Megan Magill | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.6% |
| Meghan Pesch | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.