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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.56+3.87vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.16+3.24vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74-1.30vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.53-2.90vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.23-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.62+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.01-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87University of Washington0.560.1%1st Place
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4.51Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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2.7University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.1University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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5.54Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Oregon-1.620.0%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Berkeley-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Bartels | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Reynolds | 8.3% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 28.2% | 10.3% |
| Karl Skeel | 29.3% | 24.6% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 15.4% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 22.9% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Susan Riley | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 5.9% |
| Duncan Jackson | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 70.3% |
| Tyler Hogan | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.