← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.74+6.71vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+4.26vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.18+7.06vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.21+5.50vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.71+2.54vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.06+4.26vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University1.95+7.37vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.24+1.47vs Predicted
-
92.75+2.60vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston4.09-3.65vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.60-2.89vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.24vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.45vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.82-3.08vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University3.41-6.25vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University2.55-3.54vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.27vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.71Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.26Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.06Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
9.5Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
7.54Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.26Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
-
14.37Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
-
9.47Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.62.750.0%1st Place
-
6.35College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
8.11Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
11.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.92Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.75George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
12.46Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% |
| Mark Davies | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 35.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Erik Weis | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Michael Munger | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 9.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| James Jacob | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.