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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.06+7.65vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+5.61vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+2.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.88vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+4.27vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-0.50vs Predicted
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92.75+2.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.43vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+0.84vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.05vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.95+1.25vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-6.24vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-5.45vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.41-7.13vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston4.09-10.79vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.55-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.29Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.65Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.522.750.0%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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14.25Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.87George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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12.14Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Will La Dow | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Erik Weis | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Munger | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% |
| Mark Davies | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 34.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 12.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Jacob | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.