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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.54+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.18+0.62vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.83+0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.31+0.53vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.03-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.15-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Western Washington University0.5412.3%1st Place
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2.62University of Washington1.1827.6%1st Place
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3.09Western Washington University0.8318.4%1st Place
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4.53University of Washington-0.316.6%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University0.037.1%1st Place
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2.65University of Washington1.1528.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 12.3% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 14.4% |
| Owen Thomas | 27.6% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 18.4% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Kieran Lyons | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 37.7% |
| Caroline Hurley | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 25.4% | 35.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 28.1% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.