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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+7.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+6.19vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.10vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+3.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.84vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.39+2.90vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-2.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-1.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.79-1.65vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.72+1.29vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-0.24vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-1.01vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.20-3.34vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.75-2.59vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.10-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-5.07vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.19Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.76Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.99Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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11.41Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.88Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Megan Magill | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.9% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 12.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.