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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.53vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+7.75vs Predicted
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32.75+8.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+3.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+2.42vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+0.10vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21+2.58vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41+0.65vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-1.07vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.84vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-1.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.82-0.33vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.41vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.95-0.61vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston4.09-9.80vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.06-6.54vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.55-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.782.750.0%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.65George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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14.39Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.2College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.46Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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12.13Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Erik Weis | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Will La Dow | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
| Michael Munger | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Mark Davies | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 34.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| James Jacob | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.