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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+9.01vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+4.21vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+7.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+3.74vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+3.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.86vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+2.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.81+1.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.16vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.32+1.21vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-3.99vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-4.54vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.48vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.89-1.40vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.96-6.40vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.24-1.48vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.01Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.8George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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4.78Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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13.6Roger Williams University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.6Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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15.52Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| William Logue | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Long | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Christian Filter | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.2% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Ed Lebens | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 19.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 47.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.