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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+5.76vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+3.93vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.86+5.37vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+2.89vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.91+3.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.53-0.22vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-2.12vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+0.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-1.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21-0.49vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-2.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.04-3.01vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.29-8.30vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.81-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.76Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.11Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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5.88Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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11.51Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.36Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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7.7Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.48Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Corey Hall | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Jennifer Adler | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% |
| Erica Lush | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 20.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 26.8% |
| Emily Billing | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.