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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+7.59vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+6.33vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.81+7.95vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.71vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+4.98vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+2.29vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.89vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.84-1.60vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.17+0.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.57vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-1.75vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.57vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.72-2.05vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.89-3.91vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.96-4.99vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-3.58vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.32-4.17vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.93-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University3.420.0%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.29Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.4College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.21Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.95George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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12.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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12.83Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.88Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| William Logue | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% |
| Samuel Shea | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 18.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.