← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.39+7.48vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.24vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.89+7.66vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.24+1.08vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.36vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.84+0.46vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.97+3.01vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.81+2.59vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+3.37vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.96+0.33vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.20-1.79vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-1.31vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.72-2.03vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.42-6.09vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.17-5.84vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.77-9.10vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University1.93-2.91vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University2.32-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.48Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.66Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
5.08Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
6.46College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
10.01Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
10.59Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
12.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
10.33Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.21Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.97George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.16Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
6.9Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
14.09Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.48Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christian Filter | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 31.1% |
| Samuel Shea | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.