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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.62vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.01+6.97vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+5.44vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+3.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+4.80vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.13vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-0.99vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76+0.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.500.00vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.44-0.45vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.32-1.55vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-4.76vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-7.01vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-8.12vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.38-5.48vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.27-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.8Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.5Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.08Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.0Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.55Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.45George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.52Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.05Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| William Marshall | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Mary Paz | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Conner Harding | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.