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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.54+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.18+0.58vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.03+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.31+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.15-2.36vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Western Washington University0.5412.6%1st Place
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2.58University of Washington1.1828.6%1st Place
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4.5Western Washington University0.035.9%1st Place
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4.53University of Washington-0.317.7%1st Place
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2.64University of Washington1.1526.7%1st Place
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3.11Western Washington University0.8318.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gerber | 12.6% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 12.4% |
| Owen Thomas | 28.6% | 24.9% | 21.1% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 22.7% | 36.5% |
| Kieran Lyons | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 39.2% |
| Oliver Nairn | 26.7% | 24.4% | 21.8% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 18.4% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.