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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.86+8.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.69vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.22+4.84vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.81+4.43vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.53-0.18vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-0.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.75vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-0.67vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.04+0.04vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.91-4.00vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-8.31vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.21-4.31vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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6.69Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.43Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.12Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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9.0Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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11.69Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liv Gunnarsson | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Corey Hall | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Adler | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Billing | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Laura Cuccio | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 27.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Erica Lush | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 20.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.