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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+7.14vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+9.24vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+6.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+5.70vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+2.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.26vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.01+1.75vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.32+3.54vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-0.94vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.27+5.29vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.90vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.44-0.42vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-3.68vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.38-2.97vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.14-6.88vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-8.11vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-8.76vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.54-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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11.24Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.7Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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11.54George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.06Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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15.29Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.58Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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10.53Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tara | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| William Marshall | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 48.4% |
| Mack Fox | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Mary Paz | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Conner Harding | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.