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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.38vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+6.71vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+3.82vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.32+6.45vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23+0.84vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+1.48vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.01-0.28vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+1.20vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-3.43vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.14-3.49vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.38-1.74vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-3.56vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.27+0.15vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.15-7.80vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-6.99vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.44-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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11.45George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.26Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.44Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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15.15Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.2Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.01Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.0Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Conner Harding | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 46.4% |
| William Marshall | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Mary Paz | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.