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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+8.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+6.41vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+5.40vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.01+4.69vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+4.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.28vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33+0.39vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.32+3.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+1.98vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-1.78vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-1.26vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.27+3.35vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.38-1.75vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-3.58vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-7.05vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.23-8.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.88vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.44-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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9.75Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.39Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.48George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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15.35Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.42Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.99Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| William Marshall | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Christophe Killian | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 7.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 48.9% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Conner Harding | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mary Paz | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.