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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.61vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.47vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+5.62vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+5.83vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+1.94vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23+0.81vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.44+3.08vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38+2.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54+1.03vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-1.35vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.15-3.51vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.08vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.27+0.92vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.32-3.41vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.14-7.75vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.90vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.01-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.08Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.41Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.03Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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14.92Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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11.59George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.25Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Conner Harding | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Mary Paz | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Dylan Farrell | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| William Marshall | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 43.9% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 7.9% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Mack Fox | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Christophe Killian | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.